Pennsylvania Coverage
Lake Erie and Presque Isle Duck Migration Forecast
Erie County: Presque Isle Bay, the open lake and the shoreline. The last water in the state to ice, where late mallards and black ducks hold into January.
Where Lake Erie and Presque Isle is
Lake Erie and Presque Isle is drawn from one county in Pennsylvania: Erie. Those are the counties its shape on the DuckCast map is built from, so a hunter in any of them reads this region’s score.
When Lake Erie and Presque Isle peaks
DuckCast’s season model puts the wood duck peak here around mid October. The timing follows the statewide curve; what differs here is how many birds the model expects, below. That is a modelled typical curve, not a prediction for any single year. The actual push depends on cold fronts and freeze-up upstream, which is what the daily score tracks. Always confirm season dates with the state wildlife agency, linked below.
Which birds the model expects in Lake Erie and Presque Isle
In DuckCast’s season model, the species that can score highest in Lake Erie and Presque Isle are wood ducks, Canada geese and mallards. Against the state as a whole, it expects fewer snow geese, blue-winged teal, wood ducks, Canada geese and mallards in Lake Erie and Presque Isle.
Those weights come from harvest records, survey counts and the kind of water, not from a count taken here each season. They cap how high each species’ score can climb; the weather still has to bring the birds.
What DuckCast watches upstream of Lake Erie and Presque Isle
5 upstream stations feed this region's freeze line, nearest first: Jamestown, NY, about 40 miles east, Buffalo, NY, about 85 miles northeast, Iroquois NWR, NY, about 115 miles northeast, Montezuma NWR, NY, about 180 miles east and Cape Vincent, NY, about 235 miles northeast. When those stations ice over, the score here starts climbing before anything changes in the local sky.
Radar over Lake Erie and Presque Isle
Each morning DuckCast reads the night’s NEXRAD data from KPBZ, the National Weather Service radar at Pittsburgh, about 105 miles south of the region’s weather point. That is well outside the region, so treat the radar reading as area context rather than a measurement of this ground. Radar sees every bird in the air, not only ducks, so it confirms or questions the score rather than moving it.
Locations stay generalized
Hunter reports for Lake Erie and Presque Isle are always shown at the region level. DuckCast never collects or displays exact coordinates, so filing a report here never burns a spot.
Also covered in Pennsylvania
Nearest first. Distances run between the regions’ weather points.
- Pymatuning and the Northwest Marshes, about 40 miles south
- Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds, about 80 miles southeast
- Three Rivers and Lake Arthur, about 110 miles south
- Raystown and the Southern Alleghenies, about 150 miles southeast
- West Branch and the Central Valleys, about 160 miles southeast
- North Branch, Endless Mountains and the Poconos, about 210 miles east
- Lower Susquehanna and Middle Creek, about 210 miles southeast
- Delaware River and the Lehigh Valley, about 265 miles southeast
Season dates and regulations change. Always verify with PA Game Commission. DuckCast forecasts conditions, not legal seasons.