Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds Duck Migration Forecast

Where Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds is

Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds is drawn from 9 counties in Pennsylvania: Cameron, Clarion, Clearfield, Elk, Forest, Jefferson, McKean, Potter and Warren. Those are the counties its shape on the DuckCast map is built from, so a hunter in any of them reads this region’s score.

When Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds peaks

DuckCast’s season model puts the wood duck peak here around mid October. The timing follows the statewide curve; what differs here is how many birds the model expects, below. That is a modelled typical curve, not a prediction for any single year. The actual push depends on cold fronts and freeze-up upstream, which is what the daily score tracks. Always confirm season dates with the state wildlife agency, linked below.

Which birds the model expects in Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds

In DuckCast’s season model, the species that can score highest in Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds are wood ducks, Canada geese and mallards. Against the state as a whole, it expects fewer snow geese, pintails, gadwall, wigeon, black ducks, blue-winged teal, Canada geese, green-winged teal, mallards and wood ducks in Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds.

Those weights come from harvest records, survey counts and the kind of water, not from a count taken here each season. They cap how high each species’ score can climb; the weather still has to bring the birds.

What DuckCast watches upstream of Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds

6 upstream stations feed this region's freeze line, nearest first: Jamestown, NY, about 50 miles northwest, Buffalo, NY, about 100 miles north, Iroquois NWR, NY, about 115 miles north, Montezuma NWR, NY, about 145 miles northeast, Binghamton, NY, about 150 miles east and Cape Vincent, NY, about 220 miles northeast. When those stations ice over, the score here starts climbing before anything changes in the local sky.

Radar over Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds

Each morning DuckCast reads the night’s NEXRAD data from KCCX, the National Weather Service radar at State College, about 50 miles southeast of the region’s weather point. That puts the radar just outside the region, near enough to see birds lifting off and passing close by. Radar sees every bird in the air, not only ducks, so it confirms or questions the score rather than moving it.

Locations stay generalized

Hunter reports for Allegheny Forest and the Pennsylvania Wilds are always shown at the region level. DuckCast never collects or displays exact coordinates, so filing a report here never burns a spot.