Rolling Plains
Reservoir and stock tank country from Abilene up to the Red River. Big water that holds birds after the shallow playas west of it lock up.
Stable / Staging
Pre-Season, Birds Still North
Snow Geese score, conditions as of Tue, Sep 15, 12:00 PM
Tomorrow's Hunt · Wednesday, Sep 16
Rolling Plains
Steady temps
Legal light 6:53 AMSunrise 7:23 AMSunset 7:45 PM🌒 Waxing crescent · 23%
Best window: Legal light (6:53 AM) to 10:00 AM
No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Texas Parks and Wildlife.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (0% of Texas in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year
- Corn harvest roughly 81% complete, heavy field feed available
- Persistent south winds are holding birds to the north
- Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet
48-Hour Outlook
Poor
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 81% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Wed into Thu.
14-Day Score Outlook
Snow GeeseDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~3°F into the next 48h
Persistent south winds, migration-suppressing
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
Waters open, birds can stay and feed
Outside the main migration window
Corn ~81%, beans ~29% (typical-progress estimate)
No recent hunter reports in this region
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| TueSep 15 | 99° / 81° | S 17 mph | |
| WedSep 16 | 98° / 78° | S 15 mph | |
| ThuSep 17 | 99° / 79° | SSE 16 mph | |
| FriSep 18 | 100° / 79° | S 20 mph | |
| SatSep 19 | 100° / 80° | S 19 mph | |
| SunSep 20 | 99° / 78° | SSW 17 mph | |
| MonSep 21 | 99° / 74° | SSW 20 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.