North Missouri
Swan Lake and Fountain Grove in the Grand River bottoms. Big managed marsh and cut grain that peaks the last week of November and is usually iced by mid-December.
Stable / Staging
Stable Birds / Staging
5.8
Conditions
2.6
Birds here
Conditions here are scoring 5.8 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The green-winged teal score is held at 4.6 because the green-winged teal numbers in this region read 2.6 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.
Green-winged Teal score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM
Tomorrow's Hunt · Tuesday, Nov 3
North Missouri
Falling 5° vs yesterday
Legal light 6:14 AMSunrise 6:44 AMSunset 5:10 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%
Best window: Legal light (6:14 AM) to 10:00 AM
No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year
- Drier than normal: water is patchy
Season dates · North Zone October 31 to December 29, 2026. Middle Zone November 7 to December 13, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 10, 2027. South Zone November 26-29, 2026 and December 7, 2026 to January 31, 2027.
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Missouri Department of Conservation.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (47% of Missouri in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year
- Temperatures falling about 9°F over the next 48 hours
- Northwest winds building to 16 mph
- Corn harvest roughly 83% complete, heavy field feed available
48-Hour Outlook
Fair
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 9°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.
14-Day Score Outlook
Green-winged TealDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~9°F into the next 48h
NW winds to 16 mph across 15 of the next 48h
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
47% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal
Outside the main migration window
Corn ~83%, beans ~67% (typical-progress estimate)
No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| MonNov 2 | 71° / 60° | SSE 19 mph | |
| TueNov 3 | 69° / 53° | SSW 21 mph | |
| WedNov 4 | 62° / 49° | W 17 mph | |
| ThuNov 5 | 60° / 43° | WNW 11 mph | |
| FriNov 6 | 58° / 42° | N 7 mph | |
| SatNov 7 | 61° / 42° | SW 17 mph | |
| SunNov 8 | 51° / 47° | NW 21 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.