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Pineywoods

East Texas timber and the big impoundments, Caddo, Toledo Bend and Sam Rayburn. Flooded green timber when the bottoms take water.

5.6

Moderate Movement

Moderate Movement

Low confidence↑ +1.1 last 24hPintails 5.6

Green-winged Teal score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Pineywoods

5.2

Falling 8° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:07 AMSunrise 6:37 AMSunset 5:28 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM11S · 72°
6AM11S · 72°
7AM11S · 72°
8AM11SSW · 72°
9AM13SSW · 72°
10AM13WSW · 72°
11AM13WNW · 71°
7.4Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 12 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours

  • Wind swings S to WSW by 10 AM. Be ready to flip the spread.
  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · High Plains Mallard Management Unit October 24-25, 2026 and October 30, 2026 to January 31, 2027. North Zone November 14-29, 2026 and December 5, 2026 to January 31, 2027. South Zone November 7-29, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Texas Parks and Wildlife.

Playas, rice and flooded fields: OpenMarsh, sloughs and timber: OpenReservoirs, bays and the Laguna: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (68% of Texas in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours
  • Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Temperatures falling about 10°F over the next 48 hours. Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Green-winged Teal
5.6Mon25.2Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend23% weight
5.8

Temps falling ~10°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed20% weight
5.6

NW winds to 13 mph across 6 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region8% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream5% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding14% weight
7.7

68% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing20% weight
4.0

Shoulder of the migration window

Crop harvest / field feed11% weight
9.8

Corn ~98%, beans ~91% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

80°Fnow
SSE 14 mphwind
↓ 11°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 280° / 66°SSE 14 mph
TueNov 372° / 58°SW 13 mph
WedNov 472° / 53°NNW 7 mph
ThuNov 573° / 55°S 8 mph
FriNov 674° / 56°N 9 mph
SatNov 773° / 58°NE 7 mph
SunNov 875° / 51°NNW 10 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.