Blackland Prairie
The reservoir belt north of Dallas: Ray Roberts, Lewisville, Lavon and Texoma's south shore. Hunted hard, and the birds move between lakes daily.
Moderate Movement
Moderate Movement
7.5
Conditions
4.0
Birds here
Conditions here are scoring 7.5 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The green-winged teal score is held at 6.0 because the green-winged teal numbers in this region read 4.0 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.
Green-winged Teal score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM
Tomorrow's Hunt · Tuesday, Nov 3
Blackland Prairie
Falling 10° vs yesterday
Legal light 6:18 AMSunrise 6:48 AMSunset 5:35 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%
Best window: 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM
Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year
- Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water
Season dates · High Plains Mallard Management Unit October 24-25, 2026 and October 30, 2026 to January 31, 2027. North Zone November 14-29, 2026 and December 5, 2026 to January 31, 2027. South Zone November 7-29, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027.
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Texas Parks and Wildlife.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (68% of Texas in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year
- Temperatures falling about 13°F over the next 48 hours
- Northwest winds building to 20 mph
- Corn harvest roughly 98% complete, heavy field feed available
48-Hour Outlook
Good
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the green-winged teal numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 13°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.
14-Day Score Outlook
Green-winged TealDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~13°F into the next 48h
NW winds to 20 mph across 23 of the next 48h
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
68% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left
Shoulder of the migration window
Corn ~98%, beans ~91% (typical-progress estimate)
No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| MonNov 2 | 83° / 65° | S 20 mph | |
| TueNov 3 | 72° / 56° | WNW 20 mph | |
| WedNov 4 | 71° / 51° | NW 8 mph | |
| ThuNov 5 | 77° / 59° | S 16 mph | |
| FriNov 6 | 70° / 56° | N 17 mph | |
| SatNov 7 | 70° / 54° | NNW 8 mph | |
| SunNov 8 | 72° / 52° | NNW 12 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.