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Cheyenne River and the Hills

Belle Fourche, the northern Hills and the Cheyenne breaks. The driest ground DuckCast scores, hunted on impoundments rather than marsh.

4.5

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

6.1

Conditions

2.5

Birds here

Moderate confidence↓ -0.1 last 24hSnow Geese 6.4

Conditions here are scoring 6.1 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The gadwall score is held at 4.5 because the gadwall numbers in this region read 2.5 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Gadwall score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Cheyenne River and the Hills

4.3

Falling 8° vs yesterday

Legal light 7:01 AMSunrise 7:31 AMSunset 5:40 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM21NW · 38°
6AM19NNW · 37°
7AM16NNW · 37°
8AM13NNW · 36°
9AM18NNW · 38°
10AM20NNW · 40°
11AM21NNW · 41°
6.9Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 18 mph through the morning · Gusts to 45: decoys will look wrong on open water · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: 5:00 AM to 7:00 AM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year

  • Drier than normal: water is patchy

Season dates · High Plains October 10, 2026 to January 14, 2027. Low Plains North and Middle zones September 26 to December 8, 2026. Low Plains South Zone October 24, 2026 to January 5, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with SD Game, Fish and Parks.

Sheet water: OpenPotholes and sloughs: OpenReservoirs and river: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (52% of South Dakota in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year
  • Temperatures falling about 14°F over the next 48 hours
  • Northwest winds building to 30 mph
  • Corn harvest roughly 81% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 14°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Gadwall
4.5Mon24.3Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend18% weight
7.2

Temps falling ~14°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed16% weight
9.8

NW winds to 30 mph across 35 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region18% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream11% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding11% weight
8.6

52% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal

Season timing16% weight
2.5

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed9% weight
8.8

Corn ~81%, beans ~97% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

47°Fnow
NW 30 mphwind
↓ 1°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 255° / 42°NW 33 mph
TueNov 347° / 35°NW 25 mph
WedNov 455° / 33°NW 13 mph
ThuNov 556° / 40°WNW 9 mph
FriNov 657° / 42°W 12 mph
SatNov 754° / 40°NW 28 mph
SunNov 853° / 36°SW 18 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.