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Upstate Lakes

Greenville and Spartanburg down to Abbeville and McCormick: Hartwell, Keowee, Russell, Thurmond and Greenwood, and the beaver-pond creeks between them. Ringnecks and wood ducks lead the bag.

2.2

Stable / Staging

Pre-Season, Birds Still North

4.7

Conditions

0.2

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hWood Ducks 5.2

Conditions here are scoring 4.7 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The gadwall score is held at 2.2 because the gadwall numbers in this region read 0.2 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Gadwall score, conditions as of Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM

Upstate Lakes

2.2

Warming 4° vs yesterday

Legal light 5:59 AMSunrise 6:29 AMSunset 6:05 PM🌘 Waning crescent · 9%

5AM1NE · 54°
6AM2NNW · 54°
7AM2WSW · 53°
8AM1SW · 59°
9AM1WNW · 68°
10AM4NE · 74°
11AM5NE · 80°
5.9Decoy score · ToughNear-calm morning: birds will circle high and look hard

Best window: Legal light (5:59 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year

  • Drier than normal: water is patchy

Season dates · November 21-28, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with SCDNR.

Ponds, swamps and beaver ponds: OpenImpoundments, marsh and backwaters: OpenThe big lakes and rivers: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last two weeks (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (57% of South Carolina in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year
  • Corn harvest roughly 96% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 96% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Thu into Fri.

Gadwall
2.2Thu82.2Fri9

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend24% weight
3.6

Temps falling ~4°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed21% weight
4.0

Light or variable winds

Freeze north of region4% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream3% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding15% weight
8.1

57% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal

Season timing21% weight
0.2

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed12% weight
5.5

Corn ~96%, beans ~6% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

70°Fnow
SSE 4 mphwind
↑ 3°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
ThuOct 885° / 53°ENE 6 mph
FriOct 983° / 61°NE 12 mph
SatOct 1069° / 55°NE 19 mph
SunOct 1175° / 59°W 13 mph
MonOct 1282° / 59°NNW 12 mph
TueOct 1383° / 59°WNW 6 mph
WedOct 1488° / 62°WSW 5 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.