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Sandhills and Upper Pee Dee

Chesterfield, Marlboro, Darlington and Lee: Sandhills ponds and millponds, beaver swamps and the upper Great Pee Dee. Small water, and wood ducks first.

2.0

Stable / Staging

Off-Season for This Species

3.6

Conditions

0.0

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hWood Ducks 4.5

Conditions here are scoring 3.6 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The snow geese score is held at 2.0 because the snow geese numbers in this region read 0.0 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Snow Geese score, conditions as of Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM

Sandhills and Upper Pee Dee

2.0

Steady temps

Legal light 5:50 AMSunrise 6:20 AMSunset 5:56 PM🌘 Waning crescent · 9%

5AM3SW · 53°
6AM2W · 53°
7AM3WNW · 54°
8AM1N · 57°
9AM1SSE · 62°
10AM1W · 68°
11AM2W · 72°
6.5Decoy score · WorkableNear-calm morning: birds will circle high and look hard · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest

Best window: Legal light (5:50 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year

  • Drier than normal: water is patchy

Season dates · November 21-28, 2026 and December 12, 2026 to January 31, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with SCDNR.

Ponds, swamps and beaver ponds: OpenImpoundments, marsh and backwaters: OpenThe big lakes and rivers: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last two weeks (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (57% of South Carolina in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year
  • Corn harvest roughly 96% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 96% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Thu into Fri.

Snow Geese
2.0Thu82.0Fri9

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend24% weight
1.7

Warming ~1°F, no push trigger

Wind direction + speed21% weight
2.5

NW winds to 8 mph across 1 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region5% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream3% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding15% weight
8.1

57% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal

Season timing21% weight
0.0

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed12% weight
5.5

Corn ~96%, beans ~6% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

68°Fnow
WSW 6 mphwind
↑ 2°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
ThuOct 876° / 53°WSW 6 mph
FriOct 977° / 61°NNE 11 mph
SatOct 1071° / 63°ENE 17 mph
SunOct 1183° / 68°SW 16 mph
MonOct 1281° / 62°WNW 12 mph
TueOct 1381° / 62°NNE 7 mph
WedOct 1486° / 63°WSW 7 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.