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West Branch and the Central Valleys

Centre to Northumberland: the West Branch Susquehanna, the Juniata valleys and the farm country where the branches meet at Sunbury.

2.0

Stable / Staging

Off-Season for This Species

3.5

Conditions

0.0

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hWood Ducks 4.7

Conditions here are scoring 3.5 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The snow geese score is held at 2.0 because the snow geese numbers in this region read 0.0 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Snow Geese score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

West Branch and the Central Valleys

2.0

Warming 4° vs yesterday

Legal light 5:12 AMSunrise 5:42 AMSunset 4:04 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM2S · 48°
6AM5S · 47°
7AM5S · 51°
8AM4SW · 58°
9AM3SSW · 58°
10AM3SSW · 57°
11AM2WSW · 61°
7.0Decoy score · WorkableNear-calm morning: birds will circle high and look hard · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (5:12 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year

Season dates · North Zone October 10-24, 2026 and November 17, 2026 to January 9, 2027. South Zone October 10-17, 2026 and November 18, 2026 to January 18, 2027. Northwest Zone October 10 to November 27, 2026 and December 21, 2026 to January 9, 2027. Lake Erie Zone November 2, 2026 to January 9, 2027. Sundays are closed to all migratory bird hunting statewide in 2026-27.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with PA Game Commission.

Ponds, marshes and beaver swamps: OpenLakes and impoundments: OpenBig rivers and Lake Erie: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (1% of Pennsylvania in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year
  • A warming trend is settling birds in place
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the snow goose numbers here this time of year. A warming trend is settling birds in place. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Snow Geese
2.0Mon22.0Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend19% weight
1.0

Warming ~6°F, no push trigger

Wind direction + speed17% weight
4.0

Light or variable winds

Freeze north of region16% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream10% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding12% weight
9.0

Waters open, birds can stay and feed

Season timing17% weight
0.0

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed10% weight
6.5

Corn ~55%, beans ~64% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

61°Fnow
SW 4 mphwind
↑ 1°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 264° / 41°SSW 6 mph
TueNov 366° / 47°S 7 mph
WedNov 465° / 48°S 10 mph
ThuNov 565° / 50°SW 7 mph
FriNov 660° / 42°W 9 mph
SatNov 746° / 33°WNW 10 mph
SunNov 849° / 30°S 9 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.