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Central Platte

Kearney through Grand Island. Braided river roost that holds birds after the basins ice, and the same channel the cranes use in spring.

4.1

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

7.1

Conditions

2.1

Birds here

Moderate confidence→ 0.0 last 24hMallards 7.2

Conditions here are scoring 7.1 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The gadwall score is held at 4.1 because the gadwall numbers in this region read 2.1 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Gadwall score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Central Platte

4.1

Falling 14° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:38 AMSunrise 7:08 AMSunset 5:30 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM26NNW · 51°
6AM25NNW · 50°
7AM24NNW · 49°
8AM23NNW · 48°
9AM23NNW · 47°
10AM24NNW · 47°
11AM24NNW · 47°
7.3Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 24 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Gusts to 45: decoys will look wrong on open water

Best window: 5:00 AM to 7:00 AM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year

  • Drier than normal: water is patchy

Season dates · Zone 1 October 24 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 17, 2027. Zone 2 October 3 to December 15, 2026 and January 6-27, 2027. Zone 3 October 24, 2026 to January 5, 2027 and January 6-27, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Nebraska Game and Parks.

Playas and sheet water: OpenSandhill lakes and marsh: OpenReservoirs and river: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Drier than normal: water is patchy (35% of Nebraska in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year
  • Temperatures falling about 18°F over the next 48 hours
  • Northwest winds building to 26 mph
  • Corn harvest roughly 84% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 18°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Gadwall
4.1Mon24.1Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend20% weight
8.3

Temps falling ~18°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed18% weight
10.0

NW winds to 26 mph across 47 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region13% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream8% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding13% weight
8.9

35% of the state in drought: water is patchier than normal

Season timing18% weight
2.1

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed10% weight
8.9

Corn ~84%, beans ~96% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

71°Fnow
WNW 12 mphwind
↓ 24°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 273° / 54°SSW 26 mph
TueNov 356° / 43°NNW 26 mph
WedNov 458° / 37°NW 16 mph
ThuNov 556° / 42°NNW 11 mph
FriNov 658° / 39°SSW 9 mph
SatNov 764° / 44°NW 22 mph
SunNov 852° / 40°NNW 19 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.