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Central and the Pearl

Ross Barnett, the upper Pearl and the Big Black bottoms around Jackson. Reservoir roosts with river and creek feeds either side.

2.7

Stable / Staging

Pre-Season, Birds Still North

4.6

Conditions

0.7

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hGadwall 4.3

Conditions here are scoring 4.6 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The wigeon score is held at 2.7 because the wigeon numbers in this region read 0.7 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Wigeon score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Central and the Pearl

2.7

Steady temps

Legal light 5:48 AMSunrise 6:18 AMSunset 5:07 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM10SE · 66°
6AM9SE · 66°
7AM9SE · 67°
8AM12SE · 69°
9AM13SE · 71°
10AM13SSE · 74°
11AM14SSE · 76°
7.9Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 11 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (5:48 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · November 27-29, 2026, December 4-6, 2026, then December 9, 2026 to January 31, 2027. Youth, veterans and active military days February 6-7, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Mississippi Wildlife, Fisheries and Parks.

Flooded fields and sheet water: OpenBrakes, oxbows and green timber: OpenReservoirs, the river and the coast: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (88% of Mississippi in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year
  • Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year. Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Wigeon
2.7Mon22.7Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend24% weight
2.4

Temps falling ~1°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed21% weight
4.0

Light or variable winds

Freeze north of region4% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream3% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding15% weight
6.5

88% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing21% weight
0.7

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed12% weight
9.7

Corn ~99%, beans ~95% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

80°Fnow
SSE 11 mphwind
↑ 2°next 24h, rising
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 280° / 66°SE 12 mph
TueNov 382° / 66°SSE 15 mph
WedNov 475° / 60°WNW 7 mph
ThuNov 578° / 57°NW 5 mph
FriNov 678° / 58°NNE 6 mph
SatNov 773° / 54°NNE 5 mph
SunNov 873° / 47°WNW 10 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.