Northwest Missouri
Loess Bluffs and the Missouri River bottoms up against Iowa and Nebraska. Bob Brown and Nodaway Valley fill first and freeze first, and the snow geese stack here by the hundred thousand.
Stable / Staging
Stable Birds / Staging
Mallards score, conditions as of Tue, Sep 15, 12:00 PM
Tomorrow's Hunt · Wednesday, Sep 16
Northwest Missouri
Steady temps
Legal light 6:32 AMSunrise 7:02 AMSunset 7:29 PM🌒 Waxing crescent · 23%
Best window: Legal light (6:32 AM) to 10:00 AM
No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet
No strong migration triggers in the current data
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Missouri Department of Conservation.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (0% of Missouri in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- No strong migration triggers in the current data
48-Hour Outlook
Poor
No strong migration triggers in the current data. Strongest window: Wed into Thu.
14-Day Score Outlook
MallardsDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~5°F into the next 48h
Light or variable winds
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
Waters open, birds can stay and feed
Outside the main migration window
Corn ~10%, beans ~0% (typical-progress estimate)
No recent hunter reports in this region
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| TueSep 15 | 86° / 67° | NNE 17 mph | |
| WedSep 16 | 82° / 68° | ESE 13 mph | |
| ThuSep 17 | 94° / 72° | SSE 12 mph | |
| FriSep 18 | 97° / 74° | SSW 18 mph | |
| SatSep 19 | 95° / 70° | SW 13 mph | |
| SunSep 20 | 77° / 62° | WNW 11 mph | |
| MonSep 21 | 75° / 56° | NW 11 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.