Southern Maryland
Calvert, Charles and St. Mary's: the tidal Potomac and the Patuxent, and the swampy creeks like Chicamuxen and Nanjemoy. Wood duck water.
Stable / Staging
Post-Season, Birds Moved Through
5.0
Conditions
0.2
Birds here
Conditions here are scoring 5.0 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The blue-winged teal score is held at 2.2 because the blue-winged teal numbers in this region read 0.2 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.
Blue-winged Teal score, conditions as of Mon, Oct 5, 10:00 PM
Today's Hunt · Monday, Oct 5
Southern Maryland
Steady temps
Legal light 5:36 AMSunrise 6:06 AMSunset 5:45 PM🌘 Waning crescent · 34%
Best window: 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM
Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year
Season dates · Eastern Zone October 10-17, November 14-27, and December 15, 2026 to January 30, 2027. Western Zone October 3-17, November 21-27, and December 15, 2026 to January 30, 2027.
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Maryland DNR.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (20% of Maryland in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year
- Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet
48-Hour Outlook
Poor
Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the blue-winged teal numbers here this time of year. Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.
14-Day Score Outlook
Blue-winged TealDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~5°F into the next 48h
Light or variable winds
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
Waters open, birds can stay and feed
Outside the main migration window
Corn ~45%, beans ~7% (typical-progress estimate)
No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| MonOct 5 | 73° / 56° | WNW 11 mph | |
| TueOct 6 | 63° / 48° | N 8 mph | |
| WedOct 7 | 71° / 48° | S 12 mph | |
| ThuOct 8 | 85° / 55° | SW 8 mph | |
| FriOct 9 | 70° / 53° | N 8 mph | |
| SatOct 10 | 69° / 54° | ESE 6 mph | |
| SunOct 11 | 69° / 58° | ESE 11 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.