Lower Eastern Shore
Wicomico and Somerset: Tangier Sound, Deal Island and the Nanticoke, tidal marsh broken by open water. Black duck marsh, with sea ducks out on Tangier Sound.
Stable / Staging
Pre-Season, Birds Still North
Scoters score, conditions as of Mon, Oct 5, 10:00 PM
Today's Hunt · Monday, Oct 5
Lower Eastern Shore
Steady temps
Legal light 5:32 AMSunrise 6:02 AMSunset 5:41 PM🌘 Waning crescent · 34%
Best window: Legal light (5:32 AM) to 10:00 AM
No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet
Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet
Season dates · Eastern Zone October 10-17, November 14-27, and December 15, 2026 to January 30, 2027. Western Zone October 3-17, November 21-27, and December 15, 2026 to January 30, 2027.
Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Maryland DNR.
Water Status
Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (20% of Maryland in drought, US Drought Monitor).
Why this score is moving
- Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet
48-Hour Outlook
Poor
Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.
14-Day Score Outlook
ScotersDays 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.
Inside the model
The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.
Temps falling ~5°F into the next 48h
Light or variable winds
0% of upstream hours below 28°F
Little to no snow upstream
Waters open, birds can stay and feed
Outside the main migration window
Corn ~45%, beans ~7% (typical-progress estimate)
No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted
North of you
ProThe freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.
Radar check
ProLast night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.
Local conditions
| Day | Hi / Lo | Wind | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| MonOct 5 | 73° / 55° | WNW 10 mph | |
| TueOct 6 | 64° / 48° | N 8 mph | |
| WedOct 7 | 70° / 45° | S 11 mph | |
| ThuOct 8 | 79° / 57° | SSW 13 mph | |
| FriOct 9 | 70° / 57° | N 9 mph | |
| SatOct 10 | 71° / 56° | E 7 mph | |
| SunOct 11 | 70° / 61° | SE 15 mph |
Hunter intel
ProWhat other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.