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Red River and Northwest

Caddo, Bossier and the Red River lakes down through Natchitoches. The thinnest duck ground in the state, and the first of it to freeze.

2.8

Stable / Staging

Pre-Season, Birds Still North

5.1

Conditions

0.8

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hPintails 4.9

Conditions here are scoring 5.1 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The wigeon score is held at 2.8 because the wigeon numbers in this region read 0.8 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Wigeon score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 4:00 PM

Red River and Northwest

2.8

Falling 5° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:03 AMSunrise 6:33 AMSunset 5:23 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM10SSE · 70°
6AM12SSE · 71°
7AM12SSE · 71°
8AM12SSE · 72°
9AM13SSE · 73°
10AM14S · 72°
11AM11S · 73°
7.6Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 12 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Midweek rest: birds have settled since the weekend crowds

Best window: Legal light (6:03 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Proposed season dates · West Zone November 14 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 24, 2027, youth and veterans November 7, 2026 and January 30, 2027. East Zone November 21 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 31, 2027, youth and veterans November 14, 2026 and February 6, 2027. These are published but not finalised.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Louisiana Wildlife and Fisheries.

Flooded rice and crawfish ponds: OpenMarsh ponds, bayous and brakes: OpenThe Basin, the lakes and the coast: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (89% of Louisiana in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year
  • Temperatures falling about 9°F over the next 48 hours
  • Corn harvest roughly 99% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 9°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Wed into Thu.

Wigeon
2.8Mon22.8Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend24% weight
5.4

Temps falling ~9°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed21% weight
3.0

NW winds to 9 mph across 2 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region5% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream3% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding15% weight
6.1

89% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing21% weight
0.8

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed12% weight
9.9

Corn ~99%, beans ~98% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

73°Fnow
SE 6 mphwind
↓ 3°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 276° / 67°SE 13 mph
TueNov 373° / 60°S 14 mph
WedNov 474° / 55°NW 8 mph
ThuNov 580° / 55°S 6 mph
FriNov 677° / 61°N 9 mph
SatNov 772° / 57°NE 7 mph
SunNov 876° / 54°NW 9 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.