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Northwest High Plains

Cedar Bluff and Sebelius with scattered playas between them, in the driest corner of the state. Thin country that hunts on whatever water is left.

4.6

Stable / Staging

Stable Birds / Staging

6.9

Conditions

2.6

Birds here

Moderate confidence→ 0.0 last 24hPintails 6.9

Conditions here are scoring 6.9 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The gadwall score is held at 4.6 because the gadwall numbers in this region read 2.6 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Gadwall score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Northwest High Plains

4.6

Falling 16° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:42 AMSunrise 7:12 AMSunset 5:40 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM24NNW · 46°
6AM23NNW · 45°
7AM23NNW · 45°
8AM23NNW · 44°
9AM23NNW · 44°
10AM24NNW · 45°
11AM23NNW · 45°
7.4Decoy score · WorkableWorking wind: 23 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Gusts to 49: decoys will look wrong on open water

Best window: 5:00 AM to 7:00 AM

Built around the strongest northwest wind of the morning

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year

Season dates · High Plains Unit October 10, 2026 to January 3, 2027 and January 22-31, 2027. Low Plains Early Zone October 10 to December 6, 2026 and December 19, 2026 to January 3, 2027. Low Plains Late Zone October 31, 2026 to January 3, 2027 and January 23-31, 2027. Low Plains Southeast Zone November 7, 2026 to January 3, 2027 and January 16-31, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Kansas Wildlife and Parks.

Playas and sheet water: OpenMarsh and creek bottoms: OpenReservoirs and river: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Water on the landscape is in decent shape (21% of Kansas in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year
  • Temperatures falling about 20°F over the next 48 hours
  • Northwest winds building to 27 mph
  • Corn harvest roughly 92% complete, heavy field feed available

Fair

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the gadwall numbers here this time of year. Temperatures falling about 20°F over the next 48 hours. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Gadwall
4.6Mon24.6Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend20% weight
8.8

Temps falling ~20°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed17% weight
9.9

NW winds to 27 mph across 37 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region15% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream9% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding12% weight
9.0

Waters open, birds can stay and feed

Season timing17% weight
2.6

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed10% weight
8.6

Corn ~92%, beans ~84% (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

68°Fnow
N 19 mphwind
↓ 18°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 271° / 48°WSW 27 mph
TueNov 350° / 38°NNW 26 mph
WedNov 462° / 34°WNW 12 mph
ThuNov 557° / 42°N 13 mph
FriNov 661° / 42°SSW 8 mph
SatNov 765° / 46°NW 18 mph
SunNov 855° / 42°NW 15 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.