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Central Arkansas

Little Rock out to the lakes west of it. Mostly a drive-through on the way to the Grand Prairie, with scattered small-water hunts.

2.7

Stable / Staging

Pre-Season, Birds Still North

4.5

Conditions

0.7

Birds here

High confidence→ 0.0 last 24hPintails 4.6

Conditions here are scoring 4.5 this morning, and that number is the same for every duck on this water. The wigeon score is held at 2.7 because the wigeon numbers in this region read 0.7 out of 10 for the date. A good morning on birds that have not arrived is still a quiet morning.

Wigeon score, conditions as of Mon, Nov 2, 3:00 PM

Central Arkansas

2.7

Falling 3° vs yesterday

Legal light 6:02 AMSunrise 6:32 AMSunset 5:15 PM🌗 Last quarter · 40%

5AM16S · 69°
6AM15S · 69°
7AM16SSE · 69°
8AM15SSE · 70°
9AM16S · 71°
10AM16S · 73°
11AM16S · 75°
8.0Decoy score · Prime decoy dayWorking wind: 16 mph through the morning · Low overcast keeps birds low and honest · Gusts to 39: decoys will look wrong on open water

Best window: Legal light (6:02 AM) to 10:00 AM

No push wind forecast; first light is the best bet

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year

  • Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water

Season dates · November 21-29, 2026, then December 10-23, 2026, then December 26, 2026 to January 31, 2027.

Times shown for the region center. Season dates and limits change yearly and by zone: verify with Arkansas Game and Fish.

Flooded fields: OpenTimber and sloughs: OpenRivers and reservoirs: Open0 freezing degree-days over the last 6 days, counting the next 2 at half (estimated from air temps until the satellite ice feed lands)

Water on the landscape: Dry fall: birds concentrated on remaining water (97% of Arkansas in drought, US Drought Monitor).

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  • Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year
  • Rice harvest roughly 100% complete, heavy field feed available
  • Off-season: the main migration window has not opened yet

Poor

Held to the season curve: conditions are better than the wigeon numbers here this time of year. Rice harvest roughly 100% complete, heavy field feed available. Strongest window: Mon into Tue.

Wigeon
2.7Mon22.7Tue3

Days 8 through 14 sit beyond the reliable forecast window and lean on season history. Read them as a trend, not a promise.

The score is a weighted blend of the drivers below, each rated 0 to 10 from current conditions. No black box: this is the whole model.

Cold front / temp trend21% weight
4.1

Temps falling ~6°F into the next 48h

Wind direction + speed18% weight
4.8

NW winds to 13 mph across 1 of the next 48h

Freeze north of region12% weight
1.5

0% of upstream hours below 28°F

Snow advance upstream8% weight
1.5

Little to no snow upstream

Local open water / holding13% weight
5.2

97% of the state in drought: less water, and birds stacked on what is left

Season timing18% weight
0.7

Outside the main migration window

Crop harvest / field feed10% weight
9.8

Rice ~100%, beans ~91% harvested (typical-progress estimate)

Hunter reports0% weight
5.0

No reports in the last 72h, so this factor is not counted

Pro

The freeze line across the stations upstream of this region, station by station, so you see shallow water locking up before the birds arrive on it.

Pro

Last night's NEXRAD read on whether birds actually moved: how much lifted off after sunset, which way it tracked, and how fast it flew under its own power once the wind at that altitude is subtracted out.

73°Fnow
SSE 11 mphwind
↓ 3°next 24h, falling
DayHi / LoWindSnow
MonNov 274° / 66°SE 11 mph
TueNov 375° / 58°S 16 mph
WedNov 472° / 53°WNW 6 mph
ThuNov 573° / 57°SSE 4 mph
FriNov 671° / 57°NNE 8 mph
SatNov 765° / 52°NE 5 mph
SunNov 867° / 49°NW 13 mph
Pro

What other hunters reported in this region over the last 72 hours: species, how hard they were feeding, and whether the birds looked like new arrivals. Filing your own report is free and counts toward this region's score either way.